6.13.2012 Philadelphia Phillies (29-34) @ Minnesota Twins (25-35)
Pitching Matchup: Cole Hamels (8-3, 2.93 ERA) vs. P.J. Walters (2-1, 4.42 ERA)
LV Money Line Open: MIN +141
LV Over / Under Open: 8.0
It feels to be somewhere between 8 or 9 games since I last indicated the Phils were a good money line play. Emotionally it has been an exhausting run, but for your wallet it has been very good. And here I am again with the same message: the Twins look to be a good play tonight. At MIN +140 where the line is now, the simulator shows an expected return of about +3.6%, which is pretty much par for the course the last couple of weeks. Part of me is really hoping that the simulator is wrong tonight, but there are two benefits to a Phils loss: 1) monetary windfall 2) the growing possibility that RAJ is gone at the end of the season.*
The simulator really likes the under 8.0 tonight, showing the game going under 56% of the time (when you don't include the 7.1% of games ending on 8).
Go Phils!
*Candidly I wish he was gone very soon so that a savvy GM had time to get value for Cole (if they're not going to sign him), Shane and Pence. I don't have any delusions that this will happen, but I can dream.
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