6.8.2012 Philadelphia Phillies (28-31) @ Baltimore Orioles (32-25)
Pitching Matchup: Joe Blanton (4-6, 5.27 ERA) vs. Jake Arrieta (2-7, 5.53 ERA)
LV Money Line Open: BAL -115
LV Over / Under Open: 9.0
The simulator indicated a good amount of expected return when the line opened at BAL -115, but unfortunately at this point that is all but gone. At BAL -128 currently, the simulator estimates an expected ROI of +1.0% betting on the Orioles. That is too close to call this a recommended play.
The simulator loves the under 9.0, but I don't. I don't think the simulator does a good job adjusting for run environment for inter-league games, so you'll probably find that I ignore the O/U for all of those games this year.
Go Phils!
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