5.22.2012 Washington National (25-17) @ Philadelphia Phillies (21-22)
Pitching Matchup: Jordan Zimmermann (2-4, 2.58 ERA) vs. Roy Halladay (4-3, 3.22 ERA)
LV Money Line Open: PHI -160
LV Over / Under Open: 6.5
The simulator really likes the Nationals tonight and fully endorses the line movement we've seen so far today. The Phillies opened as a pretty big favorite at -160, but that quickly dropped and they are now sitting somewhere around -140. The simulator thinks that is still too high, putting the fair odds closer to PHI -120 to -125. But I'm going against the simulator tonight and the 7% expected ROI taking WAS +133. No good reason other than a gut feeling. It's sometimes hard for me to give advice on these games like a portfolio manager, which if you're interested in making money, should be the mindset. But even though I'm passing doesn't mean you have to.
Go Phils!
Extra Innings: HOU -119 looks like a really good play tonight. Good luck!
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