Friday, May 25, 2012

PHI@STL 5.25.2012


5.25.2012 Philadelphia Phillies (23-23) @ St. Louis Cardinals (25-20)
Pitching Matchup: Cliff Lee (0-2, 2.66 ERA) vs. Kyle Lohse (5-1, 2.91 ERA)
LV Money Line Open: STL +111
LV Over / Under Open: 7.0

The simulator puts the fair price line at STL +107, so if you can still get STL +111 you are possibly getting some value. However, I haven't seen anywhere that you can still get STL +111; instead the lines I've seen put it somewhere between STL +106 and STL +109. Too close to the simulation to identify either side as a good play.

The O/U started at 7.0, but the sim thought that was too low and so did the betting markets. The line is now up to 7.5, which seems right.

Go Phils!

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