Monday, May 14, 2012

HOU@PHI 5.14.2012


5.14.2012 Houston Astros (15-19) @ Philadelphia Phillies (16-19)
Pitching Matchup: Lucas Harrell (2-2, 4.58 ERA) vs. Joe Blanton (3-3, 3.24 ERA)
LV Money Line Open: PHI -165
LV Over / Under Open: 8.5

I am not going to do much of a write-up today, so I've posted the betting predictions table  under the forecasted boxscore. If you've been reading frequently, you may remember I said I was making updates to the model and that I hoped they were improvements. So far it is hard to tell whether the money lines are more accurate, but I can say I feel the O/U odds the simulator is producing seem to be skewed low. I'm not quite sure why yet, but I'm looking into. The positive though is that it does not appear to be assymetrically biasing the teams, though it most certainly could be. I'll hopefully have it fixed - if necessary - in the next week.

Note: in the betting predictions table, "FP" stands for Fair Price, which is set based on the simulator forecast.

Go Phils!

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