Saturday, April 21, 2012

PHI@SDG 4.21.2012

Similar projection to yesterday's game, which isn't surprising with good pitchers going and these anemic lineups. 56.7% of the time the Phils win according to the simulation, which puts the Money Line at approximately -131 (or around +131 if you're betting on San Diego). For reference, the three Vegas MLs I looked at were all around +132 to +135, so it doesn't look like either play has much value. The Vegas O/U is 5.5, which according to the projection is a little high, with about 59% of the time the game going under 5.5 total runs.

Go Phils!

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