Wednesday, April 25, 2012

PHI@ARI 4.25.2012

4.25.2012 Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Pitching Matchup: Cole Hamels vs. Trevor Cahill
LV Money Line Open: ARI -103
LV Over / Under Open: 8.0

Not a ton of time for analysis today as the game is about to start. Arizona opened as the favorite but that quickly changed and now the line is anywhere between ARI +106 to +108. The simulation agrees that the Phils should be favored, pegging the line closer to +115. Maybe there is some value today in betting on the Phils, who knows?

The O/U started at 8o* -101, but dropped to 8.0o +110 or +120. The simulation sees 8.0 as too high as well, with the game going under 8 runs 49.5% of the time (over 42.9%).

Go Phils!

*For those unfamiliar with this O/U notation, sports books will choose to change the payout associated with betting each side of the line before changing the actual O/U value

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