Sweet Sixteen Log5 Table

Using the latest Relative Ratings, I decided to run one million simulations of the tournament starting at the Sweet 16. Below is a Log5 table displaying the results. The win odds are similar to the Vegas odds, though my ratings result in Duke being the favorite, whereas Vegas has Kentucky as the favorite at 3 to 1 odds.

Team	S16	E8	F4	NC	Win
Northern Iowa	100.0%	48.4%	17.1%	5.2%	1.3%
Michigan St	100.0%	51.6%	19.0%	6.1%	1.6%
Tennessee	100.0%	32.8%	17.3%	5.8%	1.6%
Ohio St	100.0%	67.2%	46.7%	23.4%	10.0%
Syracuse	100.0%	73.5%	47.6%	32.1%	16.1%
Butler	100.0%	26.5%	10.7%	4.7%	1.3%
Xavier	100.0%	36.8%	12.4%	5.6%	1.7%
Kansas St	100.0%	63.2%	29.3%	17.0%	6.9%
Kentucky	100.0%	79.7%	49.7%	21.8%	12.2%
Cornell	100.0%	20.3%	6.2%	1.1%	0.3%
Washington	100.0%	32.9%	11.0%	2.7%	0.9%
West Virginia	100.0%	67.1%	33.1%	12.5%	6.1%
Duke	100.0%	78.8%	63.0%	46.1%	33.4%
Purdue	100.0%	21.2%	11.1%	4.8%	2.0%
Baylor	100.0%	63.2%	18.6%	8.5%	3.8%
St Mary's CA	100.0%	36.8%	7.4%	2.5%	0.8%