Bracketology: A First Attempt at Seedings (updated March 14th)

First some admissions: these seedings are based on a mixture of statistics, some of which the committee members use and some they probably do not. The result is that this bracket doesn't completely resemble others drifting around out there in the internet ether. However, one important statistic I use is predictive in nature, which means it is pretty good at guessing what will happen. So these seedings may not match what they would be if the season ended today, but are probably closer to what they will be when the conference tournament season is over. Still with me? Anyway, I have not applied bracket logic to these, so some of the lower seeds may be a spot off from what you may expect. Additionally, injuries have not been taken into account, which most notably affects Ohio St and Purdue. I have begun to make manual procedural bumps to more accurately reflect what I see as the likely seedings. Initially I wanted this to be a purely mathematical model, but then I decided that accounting for player injuries would be extremely difficult (I'd have to track injuries for every team who was in contention for an at large bid, discount the stats from that period a certain percentage based on that player's lost production, etc). I felt that a few manual seed changes were within the spirit of the exercise.

Updated through games of March 13th.

1. Kansas, Kentucky, Syracuse, Duke
2. West Virginia, Kansas St, Ohio St, Georgetown
3. Baylor, Villanova, Pittsburgh, Purdue
4. Wisconsin, New Mexico, Temple, Butler
5. Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Michigan St, BYU
6. Maryland, Texas A&M, Xavier, Richmond
7. Northern Iowa, California, Gonzaga, Marquette
8. Oklahoma St, Florida St, Notre Dame, Texas
9. UTEP, Clemson, UNLV, Louisville
10. St Mary's CA, Missouri, Utah St, Georgia Tech
11. Washington, Siena, San Diego St, Old Dominion
12. Cornell, Mississippi St, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech
13. Murray St, Wofford, New Mexico St, Sam Houston St
14. Oakland, Houston, Ohio, Montana
15. Vermont, Santa Barbara, North Texas, Morgan St
16. ETSU, Robert Morris, Lehigh, Winthrop, Ark Pine Bluff

Last Four In: San Diego St, Mississippi St, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech
Last Four Out: Minnesota, Arizona St, Memphis, Florida