Tuesday, September 22, 2009

It's Early But Interesting

We are now 3 weeks into the season and I think there is enough data that the rankings have at least some meaning. Historically it isn't until about Week 6 that the rankings begin to resemble the end of season product, but the early numbers are nice because they provide fodder for fans of teams who don't normally get to gloat, like those of the Houston Cougars. Remember that SAWP only takes into account win/loss record (like the BCS computers) and RR only takes into account points for/against. As you'll see, SAWP right now looks like you gave a Top 25 ballot to someone who knew very little about college football and you told them who beat whom so far this season. RR more closely resembles the AP/Coaches Top 25 polls. Surprisingly RR has Tennessee (a 1-2 team) as the 22nd best team in the country and 18 spots higher than UCLA, a team that beat them on their home turf. So like I said, it will be a few weeks until you can take the results seriously.

First here are the SAWP Ratings:

RNK
TEAM
RATING
1
MIAMI FL
0.7891
2
LSU
0.7496
3
AUBURN
0.7496
4
TEXAS
0.7102
5
IOWA
0.7072
6
CINCINNATI
0.7072
7
ALABAMA
0.6875
8
MICHIGAN
0.6810
9
BOISE ST
0.6810
10
UCLA
0.6707
11
WISCONSIN
0.6678
12
NORTH CAROLINA
0.6678
13
CALIFORNIA
0.6678
14
HOUSTON
0.6663
15
KENTUCKY
0.6541
16
PENN ST
0.6481
17
MISSOURI
0.6464
18
WASHINGTON
0.6423
19
VIRGINIA TECH
0.6423
20
SOUTHERN MISS
0.6386
21
PITTSBURGH
0.6283
22
KANSAS
0.6283
23
INDIANA
0.6283
24
FLORIDA
0.6283
25
CLEMSON
0.6218

And here are the Relative Ratings:

RNK
TEAM
RATING
1
OKLAHOMA
0.8524
2
FLORIDA
0.7714
3
NEBRASKA
0.7624
4
ARIZONA ST
0.7622
5
BOISE ST
0.7294
6
CINCINNATI
0.7189
7
KANSAS
0.7163
8
PENN ST
0.7124
9
ALABAMA
0.7028
10
LSU
0.6982
11
SOUTH FLORIDA
0.6792
12
KENTUCKY
0.6786
13
BOSTON COLLEGE
0.6779
14
USC
0.6769
15
MISSISSIPPI
0.6685
16
CALIFORNIA
0.6665
17
AIR FORCE
0.6633
18
PITTSBURGH
0.6577
19
BYU
0.6509
20
TEXAS
0.6413
21
OHIO ST
0.6372
22
TENNESSEE
0.6297
23
NOTRE DAME
0.6264
24
ARKANSAS ST
0.6214
25
VIRGINIA TECH
0.6193